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How Risk Perception Shapes Collective Action Intentions in Repressive Contexts: A Study of Egyptian Activists during the 2013 Post-Coup Uprising

[Speaker] Ayanian, Arin H:1
[Co-author] Tausch, Nicole:1
1:University of St Andrews (United Kingdom)

Social psychological research has overlooked collective action in repressive contexts, where activists face substantial personal risks. This paper examines the social psychological processes motivating activists to engage in actions in risky contexts. We investigate the idea that perceived risks due to government sanctions can galvanize action through fuelling anger, shaping efficacy beliefs, and increasing identification with the movement. We also argue that anger, efficacy and identification motivate action intentions directly and indirectly through reducing the personal importance activists attach to these risks. We tested our hypotheses within a sample of Egyptian activists (N = 146) during the 2013 anti-Coup uprising. In line with our hypotheses, the perceived likelihood of risks provoked anger and amplified identity consolidation efficacy, and increased action intentions indirectly through these variables. Anger and political efficacy incited action intentions directly and indirectly through reducing the subjective importance of risks.
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